Home / / Retail AI spend to hit $12bn by 2023

Retail AI spend to hit $12bn by 2023

Juniper Research shows demand forecasting, smart checkouts to drive AI investment

AI will be used by retailers in analytics roles and for smart checkout functions.
AI will be used by retailers in analytics roles and for smart checkout functions.

Spending by retailers on AI services will hit $12bn in 2023, according to a new study from Juniper Research.

The company says that spending on AI by the retail sector will grow from an estimated $3.6 billion in 2019, with over 325,000 retail organisations expected to adopt AI in the next five years.

Juniper says that AI will primarily be used in back-office functions and business analysis, leading to clear competitive advantage for early adopters, while smart checkout technology will also have an impact.

The new research, AI in Retail: Segment Analysis, Vendor Positioning & Market Forecasts 2019-2023, says that AI use by retailers will unlock efficiencies across back office operations. Advanced analytics employed in functions such as demand forecasting and automated marketing will make retailers more agile and improve margins.

Juniper forecasts that retailers will face an AI adoption race, where AI-equipped retailers, which have adopted systems as early movers, will displace slower moving retailers, offering superior service at optimised price points.

The use of machine learning in demand forecasting will prove to be a key market for AI vendors, with associated service revenues reaching $3 billion by 2023, up from $760 million in 2019.

The research claimed that demand forecasting will be essential to enable an effective omnichannel experience and drive higher margins. This will mean the number of retailers using AI-enabled demand forecasting will more than triple between 2019 and 2023.

Research author Nick Maynard explained: "With the rise of collect-in-store and one-off events such as Black Friday, understanding demand and supply chains is more crucial than ever with AI playing the central role."

The research also found that smart checkouts, largely powered by AI technologies such as computer vision, will have a strong future in the convenience area; leading to annual transaction volumes of over 1.4 billion by 2023, compared with just 42 million in 2019.

While Amazon is currently highly visible with its Go model, China will be the biggest driver of future growth. This reflects the rapidly growing Chinese market, as well as the backlash Amazon has had recently due to its cashless model.

Juniper Research provides research and analytical services to the global hi-tech communications sector; providing consultancy, analyst reports and industry commentary.