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Global PC shipments in for 8.7% dive in 2015

IDC cites Windows 10 transition, ‘stubbornly large’ inventory

Market research, IT Business, International Data Corporation

Global PC unit shipments could take a dive of as much as 8.7% this year and not stabilise until 2017, according to the International Data Corporation (IDC).

The tech-industry research firm's Worldwide Quarterly PC Tracker shows growth declining yet again, throughout 2016, which will the fifth straight year of decline. IDC expects growth to resume in 2017, led by the enterprise segment, while consumer demand continues to shrink slightly until the end of 2019.

IDC had expected the first half of the year to be restrained as the industry prepared for the move to Windows 10, but the Q2 shrinkage was even more than had been projected. IDC attributed the decline to a "stubbornly large inventory of notebooks from prior quarters and severe constraints posed by the decline of major currencies relative to the US dollar".

Other factors that are likely to dampen growth are: free Windows 10 upgrades, a relative lack of fresh products in the Windows 10 transition period; and channels that are reluctant to take stock.

"Although the shortcomings of the PC business are obvious, a silver lining is that the industry has continued to refine the more mobile aspects of personal computers, contributing to higher growth in convertible and ultra-slim notebooks," said Jay Chou, senior research analyst, Worldwide PC Tracker. "The de-emphasis of touch on Windows 10 also paves the way for a more familiar experience and continuing unit growth on large-screen systems, particularly all-in-one PCs."