Automation to cut 20m vehicles from roads by 2025
BT and Frost & Sullivan report shows carbon emission, mileage savings from new personal transport models
The use of automated vehicles and new models of personal transport could reduce the number of cars on the road by 20 million vehicle per year worldwide by 2025, according to new research by BT and Frost & Sullivan.
The two companies predicted that evolving models such as shared, on-demand transport and new designs of automated cars will have further positive environmental impact in areas such as reducing the number of car journeys, cutting carbon emissions from fuel and from increased efficiency in vehicle construction.
According to the research report, "Environmentally Sustainable Innovation in Automotive Manufacturing and Urban Mobility", travellers are likely to switch to an ‘on-demand' model, to access private transport only when needed, rather than each driver owning their own vehicle. Smartphone-based on-demand solutions, connected parking solutions, integrated mobility services, and IoT solutions providing real time data will all enable improvements such easier parking, more ridesharing, and more ride-on-demand services.
"These findings show that IoT solutions will transform the entire industry. Traditional car manufacturers are rethinking their business models and will become personal mobility service providers," said Hubertus von Roenne, vice president global industry practices, BT. "BT is ready to help the industry turn digital disruption to its own advantage and enjoy the benefits of a more sustainable future. BT is committed to helping all its customers to live and work more sustainably and more efficiently."
BT and Frost & Sullivan believe that automated solutions could reduce the amount of journeys travelled by private cars by 360 billion kilometres per year within the next decade. This would result in a 56 megatonne reduction in CO2 emissions. A further reduction of 121 megatonnes could be achieved by production of 20 million less vehicles per year, while sustainable production methods and improved supply chain could save 89 megatonnes of CO2 from manufacturing.
According to the study, smart parking solutions, using a connected infrastructure of sensors that would allow drivers to find parking spaces more easily would result in a reduction of 23 megatonnes of CO2 and £49 billion ($64bn) productivity and fuel savings.
Ridesharing platforms could result in 40 billion less kilometres travelled, savings of £15 billion ($19.7bn) and five megatonnes carbon reduction. Ride-on-demand models, where users hire cars on a pay-per-minute basis, could remove 10 million vehicles from the road in 2025, eliminating 15 megatonnes of emissions.
"ICT solutions are enabling service providers to overcome some of the challenges inherent in urban mobility, whilst improving the user experience and encouraging more sustainable travel. New mobility business models can achieve exactly this," said Martyn Briggs, industry principal, Frost & Sullivan.